COHEN & STEERS, INC. (CNS)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 delivered clean beats with diluted EPS of $0.81 vs S&P Global consensus of $0.78 and revenue of $141.7M vs $138.8M; operating margin expanded meaningfully QoQ on stable fee rate and disciplined G&A, with as-adjusted operating margin at 36.1% (GAAP 34.5%). Bold drivers included positive net flows and a sharp build in the institutional pipeline to multi-year highs . Consensus values marked with an asterisk are from S&P Global and reflect a small sample size (EPS: 1 estimate; revenue: 2 estimates). Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Flows improved: firmwide net inflows of $233M, with open-end funds posting their fifth consecutive quarter of positive net flows; ending AUM rose to $90.9B on market appreciation and net inflows .
- Strategic progress: active ETFs surpassed $200M AUM with top-tier peer rankings since launch; UTF executed a $353M rights offering, adding >$500M of investable “dry powder” with leverage for infrastructure opportunities .
- 2025 guidance fine-tuned: compensation ratio trimmed to 40.25% (from 40.5% previously), effective tax rate guided to 25.1% (from 25.3%); 2025 G&A growth lifted to ~9% (from 7–8%), with 2026 G&A growth expected to moderate to mid-single-digits .
- Setup into Q4: margin trajectory benefits from revenue growth outpacing expenses and a stable 59 bps fee rate, while the $1.75B one-but-unfunded pipeline (largest since 4Q21) and continued ETF launches position for incremental flow catalysts .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- Margin execution: revenue growth (+4% QoQ) and lower G&A drove as-adjusted operating margin expansion to 36.1% (GAAP 34.5%), with the compensation ratio trending down YTD to 40.25% .
- Flows and pipeline: fifth straight quarter of open-end inflows and a multi-year high $1.75B institutional pipeline; CEO: “We believe we have transitioned to a net positive position on the institutional flow front” .
- Product momentum: active ETFs outperformed peers since inception; management: “Our real estate ETF…number one…preferred ETF…number one…resource equities…outperformed by 490 bps” .
- What Went Wrong
- Institutional softness: institutional advisory and subadvisory posted net outflows of $455M and $82M, respectively, reflecting client rebalancings/structural changes despite solid performance .
- Strategy relative returns: several equity strategies (ex resource equities at +10.7%) lagged the S&P 500; U.S. REITs returned 1.4% and ranked 9th of 11 S&P industry groups in the period .
- Near-term preferreds demand: management continues to see some hesitancy from investors in preferreds versus broader fixed income, though portfolios have performed well; mix shifts weigh on category flows at times .
Financial Results
Income statement and profitability
Consensus vs Actual (Q3 2025)
Consensus counts: EPS (1), Revenue (2). Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Revenue mix (fees), QoQ
AUM and flows KPIs
AUM by strategy (QoQ)
Non-GAAP adjustments (Q3): As-adjusted results exclude seed investment impacts, accelerated RSU vesting, rights offering costs, and FX; as-adjusted EPS remained $0.81 and as-adjusted operating margin was 36.1% .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CFO Raja Dakkuri: “Earnings of $0.81 per share…Revenue for Q3 increased 4.2%…Our effective fee rate was 59 bps…operating margin increased meaningfully to 36.1% (as adjusted)…ending AUM increased to $90.9 billion…liquidity totaled $364 million…compensation ratio to remain at 40.25% for the full year” .
- President & CIO Jon Cheigh: “Exceptional performance since launch of our three active ETFs…real estate ETF…number one…preferred ETF…number one…resource equities ETF…outperformed by 490 bps” and “We are only in year two of a $4–$5 trillion AI-driven investment cycle” .
- CEO Joe Harvey: “We had net inflows of $233 million…our one unfunded pipeline grew substantially to $1.75 billion…We priced an equity rights offering for UTF…raised $353 million…provid[ing] over $500 million in dry powder” .
Q&A Highlights
- Wealth channel demand for U.S. REITs: Management expects continued strength as rates drift lower and fundamentals broaden; REIT earnings seen accelerating into 2026–2027 as supply normalizes .
- Institutional flows and pipeline composition: Predominantly North America; a mix of retirement and annuity providers; some European reallocation toward European real estate; notable nuclear decommissioning entity evaluating global real estate .
- Cash redeployment as rates fall: Anticipated rotation from cash into real assets (real estate, infrastructure, diversified real assets) and into shorter-duration preferreds as the curve steepens; potential rotation out of private credit at lower SOFR .
- 2026 comp ratio/margin balance: Hiring timing shifting some adds into 2026; new initiatives (private real estate, ETFs) moving from cost to revenue contribution, supporting margin expansion while investing in growth .
Estimates Context
- Revenue/EPS beat: Q3 revenue $141.7M vs $138.8M consensus; EPS $0.81 vs $0.78. Limited estimate depth (EPS: 1, Revenue: 2), so consensus quality is modest; nevertheless, both lines beat. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin momentum is real: As-adjusted operating margin expanded 250 bps QoQ to 36.1% on stable 59 bps fee rate and tighter G&A; comp ratio guided to 40.25% for FY25 supports incremental margin leverage if revenue continues to outpace expense growth .
- Flows inflecting: Fifth consecutive quarter of open-end inflows and a robust $1.75B pipeline (largest since 4Q21) position CNS for potential net flow acceleration into 2026 as REIT earnings recover and infrastructure tailwinds build .
- Product catalysts: Active ETFs are scaling with strong peer rankings and more launches slated for Q4; UTF’s $353M rights offering adds meaningful deployable capital to infrastructure strategies .
- Exposure mix favorable for the macro: A portfolio tilted to inflation-sensitive real assets (REITs, infrastructure, preferreds) aligns with management’s view of sticky inflation and a dovish Fed bias; potential rotation from cash/private credit may be a medium-term inflow tailwind .
- Dividend continuity: The Board declared a $0.62/share cash dividend for Q4 2025, reinforcing capital return alongside growth investments .
- Watch items: Institutional outflows remain a swing factor as clients rebalance; preferreds demand is still normalizing; relative strategy returns vs S&P can influence wealth channel momentum near term .
- Near-term trading lens: Clean top- and bottom-line beats with visible pipeline and margin expansion are supportive; incremental data points to monitor include monthly AUM/flows (already positive in October with $1.1B net inflows despite market depreciation) and execution on ETF launches and pipeline conversions .
Notes on non-GAAP: As-adjusted results exclude seed investment impacts, accelerated RSU vesting, rights offering costs, and FX; as-adjusted EPS equaled GAAP in Q3, while as-adjusted operating margin rose to 36.1% vs GAAP 34.5% .
Other relevant press releases (Q3 context): Preliminary AUM for September ($90.9B) and October ($90.6B); dividend declaration; UTF rights offering completion .